2012 Seniors Housing & Care Journal: Predicting Nursing Home Demand

Being able to predict short- and long-term demand for nursing home care is important for the industry and for policy makers. This article reports on a study that used a behavioral model of health service use, combining various sources of county-level data, to predict the rate of nursing homes by county throughout Michigan. Their model was able to explain 90 percent of the variance in nursing home beds across the 75 Michigan counties with nursing homes. The article reports in the relationship between nursing home bed usage and various economic and demographic factors

Source: De Lellis NO, Manthei L, Woodworth J. Predicting nursing home utilization at the county level in Michigan: influence of demographic and market variables. Seniors Housing & Care Journal; (2012). 20(1).

The National Investment Center for the Seniors Housing and Care Industry (NIC) and the Mather LifeWays Institute on Aging are bringing open access to the Seniors Housing & Care Journal in 2012, making all the articles accessible to all, free of charge. To download the articles from the 2012 journal, please visit the NIC’s website.

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